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macfalk
Doriath
Feb 21 2013, 11:11pm
Post #1 of 53
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TH finally opens today in China
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So we're finally going to know for sure if AUJ will break 1 billion or not. Does anyone knows when the opening weekend numbers for China will be released? This will be very interesting because China is apparantly the most unpredictable market in the world so it could go either way, really.
The greatest adventure is what lies ahead.
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cats16
Gondolin
Feb 21 2013, 11:19pm
Post #2 of 53
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the early numbers for Skyfall came out on a Sunday, like other international markets. Don't quote me on that, but that's what I recall happening.
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Estel78
Dor-Lomin
Feb 21 2013, 11:20pm
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Midnight Hobbit seems even worse than Skyfall.....at least in Wanda.
Wanda is a theater owner. Interesting tidbit, they also own the american AMC Theaters. China is taking over the world. 
(This post was edited by Estel78 on Feb 21 2013, 11:22pm)
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imin
Doriath
Feb 21 2013, 11:22pm
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It's so close to 1 billion dollars
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I can't see it not making it to be honest.
Just for fun how much do you (and anyone else) think the film will make whilst in China? I am going for $70 million.
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macfalk
Doriath
Feb 21 2013, 11:24pm
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That sort of implies that Skyfall was dissapointing at the Chinese market. Looking at their current total for Skyfall now though (59 million), that's pretty good, though?
The greatest adventure is what lies ahead.
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Estel78
Dor-Lomin
Feb 21 2013, 11:25pm
Post #6 of 53
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Maybe i'm overreacting but based on early midnight reports i don't see it surpassing Skyfall.
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Estel78
Dor-Lomin
Feb 21 2013, 11:26pm
Post #7 of 53
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Some people may have had too high expectations.
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$60m seems fine to me. Bond is less popular in Asia.
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Bombadil
Gondolin
Feb 21 2013, 11:34pm
Post #8 of 53
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Bomby. .MUST remind you?....the Chinese LOVE Dragons!
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MasterOrc
Ossiriand
Feb 21 2013, 11:37pm
Post #9 of 53
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You never overreact ...I agree $60 million sounds about right....
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Lio
Menegroth
Feb 22 2013, 12:29am
Post #10 of 53
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I've got my fingers crossed! But one thing's kind of bugging me...
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I really don't know anything the market, but I hope the movie does well! Who knows, maybe it really will be pushed over the billion mark.
At the same time, does anyone think that opening so much later in China than the rest of the world might hurt its chances? By this time people might have already seen pirated copies and whatnot. Or are late openings like this the norm in China? I'm really curious to know.
Want to chat? AIM me at Yami Liokaiser!
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Bombadil
Gondolin
Feb 22 2013, 12:57am
Post #11 of 53
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We have had a poster from mainland China..
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Hopefully
he pipes in!
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cats16
Gondolin
Feb 22 2013, 1:03am
Post #12 of 53
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43 million. I know it's a really random number, but that's about where I'd put it. But I definitely hope the film makes oodles more than that!
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Elk2013
Lindon
Feb 22 2013, 1:22am
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went to watch the midnight opening IMAX3D with 16 lotr fans. Everyone was thrilled when we are done. Much better than skyfall I'm sure.
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Estel78
Dor-Lomin
Feb 22 2013, 2:06am
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...is really meaningless. Your show was well attended - great! Doesn't really tell me how the other shows are doing, now does it?
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Elessar
Doriath
Feb 22 2013, 2:25am
Post #15 of 53
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I'll put some faith in the Chinese market.
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AinurOlorin
Gondolin
Feb 22 2013, 3:16am
Post #16 of 53
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I think, based on the type of movie it is, it has great chances. I was looking at
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a number of the other films that released there, and found that, if they released at all in China, type was indicative of success, with genre films involving superheroes or otherwise supernaturals and paranormals doing the best. Also, the more spectacle, the better the films seem to do. Also, as these were also films that came out this year, and likely released later there than here, all pirated and bootleg effects would also have applied. You will not be surprised to learn that Batman and Spiderman both made roughly 50 million there (both doing better by far in China than did The Hunger games). It will come as no surprise that The Avengers made 84 million. What may surprise you is that the lesser blockbuster (both in terms of U.S.A. and global gross and in terms of critical reception) Men In Black 3 made 77 million, falling only behind The Avengers and only by a little. The Hobbit is the type of movie that many Chineses audiences seem to enjoy (and certainly better, by most estimates, than Men In Black, which it far out performed here and globally), so I think there is a good chance of it making at least 50 million there.
That said, I don't think WB and MGM did it any favours by delaying it's release there so long. It would certainly have made more than whatever it ends up getting, had it released there more closely to its release in other markets.
"Hear me, hounds of Sauron, Gandalf is here! Fly if you value your foul skins, I will shrivel you from tail to snout if you step within this circle!"
"Do not be to eager to deal out death in judgement. Even the very wise cannot see all ends."
(This post was edited by AinurOlorin on Feb 22 2013, 3:21am)
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Estel78
Dor-Lomin
Feb 22 2013, 3:29am
Post #17 of 53
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The Chinese film... body or whatever it's called, decides when a film gets released.
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AinurOlorin
Gondolin
Feb 22 2013, 3:32am
Post #18 of 53
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Interesting. Creepy and interesting. lol
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At least they are letting it air there.
"Hear me, hounds of Sauron, Gandalf is here! Fly if you value your foul skins, I will shrivel you from tail to snout if you step within this circle!"
"Do not be to eager to deal out death in judgement. Even the very wise cannot see all ends."
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Arannir
Doriath
Feb 22 2013, 8:28am
Post #19 of 53
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... simply rules the BO in China right now. And will probably hurt the Hobbit numbers, at least those for the opening weekend.
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DanielLB
Elvenhome
Feb 22 2013, 8:34am
Post #20 of 53
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Anything China adds is a bonus
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If you ask me, AUJ has already been a great success without a country with a population 27% greater than the US and the UK combined. Even if it only makes $100 thousand, the film was still a global success.
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Bombadil
Gondolin
Feb 22 2013, 8:42am
Post #21 of 53
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Elk2013 lives in mainland China she should keep us up to date!//
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Bombadil
Gondolin
Feb 22 2013, 11:10am
Post #23 of 53
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Was it translated or subTitled..?
The dragon kite in the prologue
... how cool was that?
The East Asian look or Mongolian
kinda taste of Dale?
(The International gathering
Of all kinds of peoples in Dale
should appeal to all!)
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Estel78
Dor-Lomin
Feb 22 2013, 12:03pm
Post #24 of 53
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Midnight Hobbit: 1.14M Yuan / 24000 admssions
Compared to Midnight Skyfall:1.7M Yuan/43000 admissions
It'll probably have an opening day lower than Journey to the West's 13th day. 
(This post was edited by Estel78 on Feb 22 2013, 12:03pm)
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Arannir
Doriath
Feb 22 2013, 12:41pm
Post #25 of 53
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If the ratio between Hobbit and Skyfall (67%) stays like this, however, it would be enough to reach the billion, unless the Hobbit numbers drop faster (which I hope they won't once JTTW slows down).
I guess it was expected that it will not beat JTTW even on its 13th day, since this is nothing short of a BO phenomenon right now.
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Yipp-ee!... First question?
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