Everything we know may be in "An Unexpeded Journey", and another attempt at ascertaining a runtime

Captain Salt

Tol Eressea
They're been plenty of these threads before, but given the newly revealed ending, thought we could make another attempt to summarize everything we know will occur in the first installment of the trilogy, garnered from promotional materials, AICN set reports, the teaser and video blogs, Comic-Con and Cinema-Con footage, interviews, spoilers, ETC.

A few notes...the just-released Apple App gives the film's primary cast as:

Bilbo Baggins…Martin Freeman
Gandalf the Grey…Ian McKellen
Thorin Oakenshield…Richard Armitage
Balin…Ken Stott
Dwalin…Graham McTavish
Fili…Dean O’Gorman
Kili…Aidan Turner
Gloin…Peter Hambelton
Oin…John Callen
Bifur…William Kircher
Bofur…James Nesbitt
Bombur…Stephen Hunter
Dori…Mark Hadlow
Nori…Jed Brophy
Ori…Adam Brown
Elrond…Hugo Weaving
Galadriel…Cate Blanchett
Saruman the White…Christopher Lee
Gollum…Andy Serkis
Radagast the Brown…Sylvester McCoy
Lindir…Brett McKenzie
Elder Bilbo Baggins…Ian Holm
Frodo Baggins…Elijah Wood
Azog…Manu Bennett
Bolg…Conan Stevens
The Goblin King…Barry Humphries

...Despite the fact that we know the Elder Bilbo and Frodo will only appear in the opening bookend segment, and Lindir will only make a very brief appearance in Rivendell; we also know that Stephen Ure plays a Goblin called Grinnah and and Orc called Fimbul, one or both of whom may appear in AUJ. Benedict Cumberbatch's name is absent from the list, so while the Necromancer will most likely be prominently mentioned (and we may see his forces, IE Azog & Bolg, and even Dol Guldur itself), he probably won't appear "in the flesh" so to speak, until DOS.
(Thanks to DanielLB for the cast list)! [:)]

So, as of now, a break-down of what has become (IMO), a greatly abbreviated journey:

Introduction:
Just before the long-expected 111st birthday party of Bilbo Baggins as seen in the opening scenes of FotR, an Elder Bilbo narrates the full extent of his adventure to his nephew Frodo; an alternate theory is that Bilbo is transcribing a letter to Frodo, which would seem redundant given Bilbo working on his book in LotR, IMO. I wonder if, in continuation of LotR's style, we may get "The Hobbit" trilogy title, the opening scene, and then the film title "An Unexpected Journey" as the next scene begins?

Runtime: 3-5 minutes?

"Good Morning" & Bilbo's Life:
It seems likely the story proper starts with a younger Bilbo sitting outside Bagend, being approached by Gandalf the Grey and recruited for an adventure. However, unlike the novel, following this scene we'll see more of Bilbo's life in Hobbiton before setting out on his quest; Bilbo will go shopping in a bustling Hobbit market, buying fish, speaking to a Hobbit called "Worrywort", and hiding on the move (much to the disgust of Lobelia and Otho Sackville-Baggins), to avoid the Wandering Wizard (perhaps Bilbo initially turns down Gandalf's "call to adventure", and only accepts later on)? We know that Drogo Baggins and Primula Brandybuck were originally slated to appear in the Shire scenes - (they were listed on the Jan. 2010 casting call, Ryan Gage was at first cast as Drogo, while an actress called Caroline Grace-Cassidy auditioned for Primula)...so if they're still in the film, they're appear here as well. An actor called Stephen Glendhill has also been cast as "Old Gammidge" (thanks Carne!), and there's been speculation we may see a Hobbit party in this sequence as well.

Runtime: 15-20 min?

An Unexpected Party:
Thorin & Co. arrive at Bilbo's house and proceed to eat him out of house and home, before conscripting him for their adventure. Probably we'll get a fairly lengthy flashback here showing the history of Erebor & Dale, featuring Thror, Thrain, a younger Thorin, with a hint of Smaug? A couple of musical numbers occur here as well, and most likely quite a bit of development for the Dwarves, beginning to delineate each Dwarf's personality and dynamic within the group.

Runtime: 20-25 min?

The Adventure Begins:
Thorin & Co. depart Hobbiton, Bilbo rushing past a startled Worrywort as he runs to catch up with the Wizard and the Dwarves. Probably some more development for Bilbo, Gandy and the Dwarves as they set out.

Runtime:
3-5 min?

Tombs and Trolls:
At some point, Gandalf and Radagast will investigate the "Tomb of the Nine" where Gandy will most likely a discarded Morgul blade; IMO, it makes sense that this occurs when Gandy leaves the Company to scout ahead, the scene being a take on the Barrow-downs from FotR the novel; I wouldn't be surprised is a few (disembodied?) Nazgul make an appearance here, filling the roll of the Barrow-wights and giving Gandy and Raddy their first action scene (perhaps Gandy ends up in possession of the Mordul blade after a tussle with a Nazgul, rather than simply finding it)? Simultaneously, Bilbo and the Dwarves will have their encounter with the three Stone Trolls, leading to a frantic confrontation in the Trollshaw - lots of fighting and action (unlike the book, the Dwarves actually put up a fight here) - concluding with Gandy's return and rescue as the sun rises.

Runtime:
10 min?

Troll Horde:
Following their victory over the Stone Trolls, Bilbo, Gandy and the Dwarves stumble upon the Trolls' cave, where Bilbo/Gandalf/Thorin find their respective swords; here, Radagast catches up with them and updates Gandy on the situation (the trolls that came down onto the road were only part of a tide of evil creatures)...mentions of Mirkwood, Ungoliant, Dol Guldur and the Necromancer foreshadow later obstacles for our heroes. Gandalf must convince the proud Thorin Oakenshield to seek Elron's aide in the Last Homely House, the Dwarf Lord being reluctant after being left scorned by the Elves following his expulsion from Erebor.

Runtime:
5 min?

Dwarf Development & History:
PJ has made it a point that each Dwarf will see his own development and personality emerge in the film, which will have time to arise in these early, comparatively action-low periods in the films. It's also very likely that at some point we'll be treated to flashbacks depicting the history of Thorin's people following Smuag's attack; wondering in the wild, the fates of Thror and Thrain, possibly even the Battle of Azanulbizar; there has also been speculation that we may see a flashback sequence where Thorin goes around collecting each Dwarf for his Company, although not sure what the source is for this?

Runtime:
15-20 min?

Rivendell & The White Council:
Thorin & Company arrive in the Last Homely House, where they receive a less-than-warm welcome; Elrond has the Company dine at his table and aides the Dwarves by deciphering runes on their map, while meanwhile, Gandalf & Elrond meet with fellow White Council members Galadriel and Saruman to discuss the morgul blade and the Necromancer; at some point, we'll see a sequence where Gandy and Raddy confront a crazed, possessed or undead Thrain in what's apparently Dol Guldur, and IMO, this scene is probably a flashback which could unfold here. A scene where Gandy and Elrond scout out Dol Guldur was mentioned in an Empire article, and if that remains, it's likely another flashback I think; we may also be privy to the machinations of the White Council, with some discord amongst its members. At some point, Bombur and Nori will be up to something (probably less than legitimate), Bofur may be involved with a foodfight, Bilbo may speak with Elrond, and Galadriel will council Gandalf. Lindir will appear, while actor Robin Kerr plays Elros (though not sure how he plays in yet).

Runtime:
25-30 min?

Heading for the Misty Mountains:
The action figure descriptions for TH line make it appear as if Azog, Bolg, and the Goblins will be major foes in TH, and we may see some plotting amongst the Orc leaders as they move against Thorin & CO., not to mentioned Gandy getting wind of the (probably) resurrected Azog, and attempting to figure out how he ties into the Necromancer. Probably more development of the Company here as well.

Runtime:
5-10 min?

The Misty Mountains:
Thorin & Co. are caught in the fire of Stone Giants and are forced to take shelter in a cave.

Runtime:
3-5 min?

Goblin-town:
Thorin & Co. are taken down to confront the Goblin King, and may be interrogated by Grinnah before their rescue by Gandalf, who slays the vile Goblin leader as stated in Sir Ian's blog. The Company have to fight their way free, being assailed by the deformed Goblin populace.

Runtime:
10 min?

Riddles in the Dark:
Bilbo falls into Gollum's cave where they play a "riddle game" and Bilbo finds the One Ring, subsequently escaping Gollum (and perhaps searching Goblin soldiers)?

Runtime:
5-10 min?

The Company Reunited:
Bilbo will have to meet up with the Dwarves at some point, where he tells Gandy he "found his courage" in the Goblin tunnels, whilst Gandy assures him he'll need it.

Runtime:
3-5 min?

Scene 88:
Bilbo and the Company make for the outskirts of the Lonely Mountains, facing continual harassment from the Goblins astride Wargs; Azog and/or Fimbul may come into play here, intent on wiping out the company before they can escape into Wilderland; the Orcs/Wargs will come continually closer to the Company as they race around them in concentric circles, possibly resulting in another confrontation.

Runtime:
5-10 min?

Out of the Frying-pan:
The climax of Film 1, where the attacks of the Goblins come to a head as Thorin & Co. are trapped in burning trees (possibly after a climactic fight), only to be rescues by the Eagles.

Runtime:
10 min?

Please feel free to add or correct anything I've left out or gotten wrong.

In any event, it seems the the runtime will land somewhere between 137 min (2 hours 17 min.), and 180 min (3 hours)...the former (or even shorter) is more likely. I wouldn't be surprised to see a runtime of just 2 hours.

Anyhoo, we'll see how this all shakes out (and how accurate all of this is), in just a few short months. [;)]
 
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But I don't think Azog will be reanimated. More than likely we'll see a flashback of him in the battle of Azanulbizar, with Bolg replacing him as Goblin Leader.
 
Do we know the scene between Frodo and Bilbo takes place around the time of Bilbo''s 111th birthday? Ian Holm is ten years older, and it's quite visible, so it would seem more plausible to have this scene take place between the time when Frodo returns from Mordor and his departure from the Grey Havens.

That said, the first shot of the teaser showed Frodo outside Bag End, and I can't think of any time Bilbo would have been in Bag End after the destruction of the ring (doesn't he remain in Rivendell?) And, movie magic could make Ian Holm look roughly the age he did at the beginning of FOTR.

I just don't know...
 
Though some of your runtimes seem awfully short (only ten minutes for Goblin Town? Doubt it).

I would also add a bit of time when Bilbo gets up the morning after the Unexpected Party. I guarantee we will get an extended (and humorous) scene of him accidentally waking up late, disappointingly deciding it was a dream, and then starting to make himself breakfast, only to have Gandalf burst in to hurry him along.

Lastly, the film will not be just 2 hours long. That is guaranteed.
 
The sign on the Bilbo's gate about "party business" is visible in the trailer, and he and Frodo and wearing the exact same clothes from those scenes in FotR.

Not to mention the set visits that revealed a basic summary of some or their dialogue about Frodo going to wait for Gandalf to show up.
 
Do we know the scene between Frodo and Bilbo takes place around the time of Bilbo''s 111th birthday? Ian Holm is ten years older, and it's quite visible, so it would seem more plausible to have this scene take place between the time when Frodo returns from Mordor and his departure from the Grey Havens.

That said, the first shot of the teaser showed Frodo outside Bag End, and I can't think of any time Bilbo would have been in Bag End after the destruction of the ring (doesn't he remain in Rivendell?) And, movie magic could make Ian Holm look roughly the age he did at the beginning of FOTR.

I just don't know...

I'm pretty sure it will take place before his 111th birthday.

The main reason why is because Jackson and company, even since the del toro days, have stated that they want the films to transition smoothly into LOTR so that you could watch it from the beginning of AUJ to the end of ROTK. If Holm's framing sequence were to take place anywhere after the beginning of the FOTR then the entire transition wouldn't be smooth and would be completely disrupted.

Also, apparently Quint reported that the scenes they filmed with Elijah involved someone nailing on the "no admittance" sign to the front of bag end. The sign can also be seen in one of the latest blogs.

Yes, Holm does look older but it's just something we will have to deal with. I'm not saying you have to like it but it's just something you will have to get used to. Unless, of course, they use some movie magic to make him look younger.

And so far we have no idea how the framing sequences are going to play out. I most certainly hope it takes place just before the party because I would also like to see it flow as one continuous series. If the sequence takes place after ROTK I would be highly disappointed.

I think the best way to do the beginning part is just have Holm doing a voice over narration with some scenes in the shire during the time of "The Hobbit"; and have NO mention that he is talking to Frodo, and don't show Holm as Bilbo. He could just start talk a little bit about hobbits and himself and how he had an unexpected adventure, and then it could go right into showing Freeman as Bilbo

With the end I would like to see the return journey of Bilbo (freeman) and possibly some stuff about adopting Frodo and blah blah blah and we transition into actually seeing scenes of the shire during "LOTR" times for the first time in the series and HERE we see Holm as Bilbo and Wood as Frodo and we get the context of where they are and that Bilbo has been telling Frodo the story the whole time and whatnot.

But that's just me. I'm pretty sure though that PJ will have Holm and Wood as more than just voiceovers for the beginning part. But hey, I won't be that disappointed if it doesn't go my way.
 
If we get the official runtime and it says "120 minutes," I'm going to here a big KA-CHING! in the back of my mind and feel immediately ripped off.
 
This really shows how the movie could work with the eagle rescue ending. The only part that I kind of disagreed on was the Goblin town being only 10 minutes or so. I'm sure PJ will lengthen it up.

Other than that Everything really seems to make sense and I think this film will do well if this is how it turns out.

Also, I'm confident (with no evidence of course) that PJ will make a much longer film than just 2 hours. With your breakdown he could easily make the 3 hour mark that we know he likes to get close to. So I'm confident (and would love it if) the film were somewhere around the 2:45 mark.

Heck, when looking back at FOTR it was close to 40 minutes before Frodo and Sam even left Bagend.
 
And since we know very little of the Dol Guldur and White Council sub-plot, I imagine that will push the running time from you estimated 137 minutes, closer to 180 minutes.
 
They definitely moved some material to film 2 to have more for 2 and 3 both, but I believe they also will add some things to AUJ and extend some scenes with things that would otherwise have been edited out or saved for an extended edition. I think we can bank on a solid 150 minutes at minimum. I don't see any way it surpasses 3 hours though, and the studio probably wants to keep it to about 2.5-ish for maximum screenings per day.

I'd also add: I don't mind this. LOTR movies were tough screenings to sit through without a pee break. They're a lot easier to watch at home than they were in the theater. And "The Hobbit" feels so much lighter in tone, I think having slightly more brisk running times (though 2.5 hours is a long movie by any other standard) is a reasonable decision.
 
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Tombs and Trolls....Runtime: 10 min?
Troll Horde...Runtime: 5 min?
The Misty Mountains... Runtime: 3-5 min?
Goblin-town...Runtime: 10 min?
Riddles in the Dark...Runtime: 5-10 min?

I think all of these scenes will be far longer than 5-10m, especially the Trolls, Riddles and Goblin town. These are the most likely to be expanded for the film.
 
i don't think so
i do understand, that there are a lot of people, who enjoy long slow conversations - but it will piss off, those people, who only watched the LotR because of the action (those were the kind of people who didn't liked FotR)
the shire stuff will be not longer then 30min - if it gets any longer, warner will loose a lot of clients, who are there only for the action

btw: after watched it for maybe 30 times, i also skip the shire-stuff, when i watch FotR
 
I hope no song sequence though... They could have an escape attempt or two before they are brought before the Goblin himself, as well as a real glimpse into the Goblin culture and their endless preparations for war. Have a few side Goblins as well, commenting gleefully on the fact that they're about to win, essentially. Whole lot of Goblins.
 
I don't think Azog will be reanimated. Leave him at the battle of Anazulbizar where he belongs, show him in a flashback, then let Bolg be the big baddie in his stead.

Otherwise, why have Bolg at all?
 
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