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The One Ring Forums: Tolkien Topics: Movie Discussion: The Hobbit:
box office update

Welsh hero
Gondor


Jan 30 2013, 8:38pm

Post #1 of 22 (1333 views)
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box office update Can't Post

Hobbit now at

$940,131,138 word wide, and as such 19th world wide ever.

$293,831,138 domestic, which means it is possible to hit 3 mil domestic

-Irfon

Twitter: @IrfonPennant
middle earth timeline FB: https://www.facebook.com/MiddleEarth1

(This post was edited by entmaiden on Jan 30 2013, 8:44pm)


Rostron2
Gondor


Jan 30 2013, 10:01pm

Post #2 of 22 (549 views)
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Still waiting on my profit-sharing check // [In reply to] Can't Post

 


LordotRings93
Rohan


Jan 30 2013, 11:15pm

Post #3 of 22 (576 views)
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It'll be tough for it to crack 300 [In reply to] Can't Post

But I think it MIGHT slug to it by the end of February. It only just cracks 1 million on weekends now, and it'll probably continue to drop since everyone in the U.S has seen it numerous times.

I've only seen it once in theaters. I don't wanna wear out my viewing of it, since I kinda wanna go in again fresh when the DVD comes out March 19th.

Lover of Medieval Fantasy
"I know what I must do. It's just... I'm afraid to do it."


Rostron2
Gondor


Jan 30 2013, 11:21pm

Post #4 of 22 (572 views)
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WHAT?!! [In reply to] Can't Post

  
ONCE!!!!

Guards! Seize him!!! Take him away to dark theaters full of snakes!!!

(kiddin')


(This post was edited by Rostron2 on Jan 30 2013, 11:21pm)


Steven Van der Berg
Rivendell


Jan 31 2013, 2:07am

Post #5 of 22 (481 views)
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I think by this weekend we will be able to determine whether 300 M will be a lock or not. [In reply to] Can't Post

Kong from this time in its' run, until it was pulled on day 114, made about 5 million more. If AUJ made no more than it, it would break 299 million. So far, even in these later days of its' run, AUJ has been tracking more, today making twice what Kong did on the same weekday of the same week.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?view=daily&id=vs-lotr.htm


I think it will break around 301- 302, if it stays the same number of days.


(This post was edited by Steven Van der Berg on Jan 31 2013, 2:08am)


Owain
Tol Eressea


Jan 31 2013, 3:34am

Post #6 of 22 (410 views)
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Cool! Thanks for the update... [In reply to] Can't Post

If March 19th is truly the BluRay release date, I'm guessing The Hobbit AUJ has a couple more weeks in a theaters, if that. If it's to hit $300 Million US Domestic... then it will have to really pick up in performance.

I think China is it's best bet to break the $1 Billion mark for a worldwide alltime total.

Middle Earth is New Zealand!

"Question everything, embrace the bad, and hold on to the good."


bborchar
Rohan


Jan 31 2013, 5:07am

Post #7 of 22 (408 views)
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The recent glut of R-rated movies... [In reply to] Can't Post

...might help it a bit. I read that 9 out of the 11 movies released this month were R-rated, and has caused a dip in attendance.


imin
Valinor


Jan 31 2013, 1:46pm

Post #8 of 22 (314 views)
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Taking its sweet time :P [In reply to] Can't Post

It will break the $1 billion mark when China gets to add its BO takings later in Feb. Loads of films appear to be just above the 1 billion mark so could move up a fair few places depending on just how many millions over the billion mark it gets.

I also think it will just about make it over $300 million in USA which seems to be a similar bench mark to $1 billion going from things said on TORn.


macfalk
Valinor


Jan 31 2013, 2:01pm

Post #9 of 22 (304 views)
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What about Macedonia???! [In reply to] Can't Post

AUJ premiers there today! Expect 100 million +! Cool

Jokes aside, China is indeed the most important country left, and I really hope it will do OK over there.



The greatest adventure is what lies ahead.


imin
Valinor


Jan 31 2013, 2:08pm

Post #10 of 22 (302 views)
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I think it will do good [In reply to] Can't Post

Most people predict it to make at least $60 million there which would be enough for it to get over $1 billion with a few mil to spare.

Would be great if Tolkien fandom spread to that part of the world on a large scale, would make $1 billion for DoS much easier if that were the case!


macfalk
Valinor


Jan 31 2013, 2:13pm

Post #11 of 22 (297 views)
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even 50million~ would be OK // [In reply to] Can't Post

 



The greatest adventure is what lies ahead.


sauget.diblosio
Tol Eressea

Jan 31 2013, 2:27pm

Post #12 of 22 (312 views)
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Other than China, [In reply to] Can't Post

are there any other countries/territories The Hobbit has yet to open?


mcmojo
The Shire

Jan 31 2013, 3:23pm

Post #13 of 22 (287 views)
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I think you might be under-selling it a bit. [In reply to] Can't Post

It did $3.385 million this past weekend. I would imagine it will do another $1.5 million at least this coming weekend - February 1-3. It should be at $296 million by the end of the weekend. I'm guessing it will be closer to $297 million by the end of the weekend though. Then, it just needs to pull in another $1 million during the next couple of Monday through Thursday's and add another $2 million in the next few weekends. That won't be hard at all.

I've seen it 3 times and I plan on taking my boys to see it one more time before the Blu Ray comes out.


macfalk
Valinor


Jan 31 2013, 4:42pm

Post #14 of 22 (246 views)
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Nope, apart from Macedonia that opens today // [In reply to] Can't Post

 



The greatest adventure is what lies ahead.


sauget.diblosio
Tol Eressea

Jan 31 2013, 8:10pm

Post #15 of 22 (238 views)
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It's changed slightly... [In reply to] Can't Post

Domestic: $294,051,480
Foreign: $646,300,000
Worldwide: $940,351,480

Should make getting to 300m. happen a little sooner.


(This post was edited by sauget.diblosio on Jan 31 2013, 8:12pm)


Steven Van der Berg
Rivendell


Jan 31 2013, 8:35pm

Post #16 of 22 (194 views)
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I noticed while looking at the possibility of getting tickets for a UK viewing in February, [In reply to] Can't Post

that I couldn't find ticket availability tracking data in the main-line cinemas after about the 18th. I haven't checked for a few days, however.. (Wanted to see it one more time with friends that lived there.) Still saw a few screenings in smaller venues until at least the end of the month, though. So, your hunch may be right, if that scenario plays out, there might be a large pull a month before the DVD release. Feels rather early, though.


(This post was edited by Steven Van der Berg on Jan 31 2013, 8:37pm)


AinurOlorin
Half-elven


Feb 1 2013, 12:23am

Post #17 of 22 (146 views)
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Amen! [In reply to] Can't Post

Lol. For all the promotional work I have done. lol

In Reply To


"Hear me, hounds of Sauron, Gandalf is here! Fly if you value your foul skins, I will shrivel you from tail to snout if you step within this circle!"

"Do not be to eager to deal out death in judgement. Even the very wise cannot see all ends."


AinurOlorin
Half-elven


Feb 1 2013, 12:29am

Post #18 of 22 (146 views)
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Agreed. It has pretty safe sailing until March. Unless The Sorcerer and White Snake [In reply to] Can't Post

American release is much wider and more successful than anticipated, there really are no fims that are remotely family in nature, nor magical and sweeping, until March arrives with Jack and the Giants, and Oz The Great and Powerful. The thing that was most likely to bite into Hobbit in recent weeks was Hansel and Gretel, and it survived that released better than I expected, likely in part do to what I anticipated would be reduced viewing of that film due to its gruesome content based R rating.

In Reply To
...might help it a bit. I read that 9 out of the 11 movies released this month were R-rated, and has caused a dip in attendance.


"Hear me, hounds of Sauron, Gandalf is here! Fly if you value your foul skins, I will shrivel you from tail to snout if you step within this circle!"

"Do not be to eager to deal out death in judgement. Even the very wise cannot see all ends."


AinurOlorin
Half-elven


Feb 1 2013, 12:31am

Post #19 of 22 (148 views)
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Yet will its run be as long? [In reply to] Can't Post

I am looking at other releases from this year in that flux, like Amazing Spiderman, Breaking Dawn and The Lorax etc. I think it should be able to pull 300 million, but it will be a near thing, even as close as it is. . I am cautiously optimistic. It will essentially have the whole of February to make between 4 and 5 million dollars.

In Reply To
Kong from this time in its' run, until it was pulled on day 114, made about 5 million more. If AUJ made no more than it, it would break 299 million. So far, even in these later days of its' run, AUJ has been tracking more, today making twice what Kong did on the same weekday of the same week.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?view=daily&id=vs-lotr.htm


I think it will break around 301- 302, if it stays the same number of days.


"Hear me, hounds of Sauron, Gandalf is here! Fly if you value your foul skins, I will shrivel you from tail to snout if you step within this circle!"

"Do not be to eager to deal out death in judgement. Even the very wise cannot see all ends."


AinurOlorin
Half-elven


Feb 1 2013, 12:33am

Post #20 of 22 (143 views)
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Actually, it has been doing well over a million every weekend. [In reply to] Can't Post

I think it may only do 1 to 2 million this weekend, but the Friday through Sunday haul last week was nearly 3 million point 5.

In Reply To
But I think it MIGHT slug to it by the end of February. It only just cracks 1 million on weekends now, and it'll probably continue to drop since everyone in the U.S has seen it numerous times.

I've only seen it once in theaters. I don't wanna wear out my viewing of it, since I kinda wanna go in again fresh when the DVD comes out March 19th.


"Hear me, hounds of Sauron, Gandalf is here! Fly if you value your foul skins, I will shrivel you from tail to snout if you step within this circle!"

"Do not be to eager to deal out death in judgement. Even the very wise cannot see all ends."


Steven Van der Berg
Rivendell


Feb 2 2013, 8:22pm

Post #21 of 22 (99 views)
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It might possibly crack $1M USD on Saturday, for the last time. *sniff* [In reply to] Can't Post

Edging just over 296 by Sunday.. And there is a slight possibility that the international cume might break the 950M level by weekend's end or at least get pretty close. That would be a pretty satisfying place for me personally. :)


(This post was edited by Steven Van der Berg on Feb 2 2013, 8:30pm)


AinurOlorin
Half-elven


Feb 3 2013, 12:50am

Post #22 of 22 (150 views)
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That is my expectation. [In reply to] Can't Post

It held on to a good number of theatres for the weekend in the U.S.A. and that is a good thing, and important. It makes it much more likely to pass 296 million by the end of the weekend, and at this stage, a 4 million dollar haul through the end of its run is much easier to manage than a 5 or 6 million dollar haul. Also, it is running ahead of other relatively well promoted films that were released much later, which boosts it's chances of not being the movie theater chains choose to dump at weeks end.

In Reply To
Edging just over 296 by Sunday.. And there is a slight possibility that the international cume might break the 950M level by weekend's end or at least get pretty close. That would be a pretty satisfying place for me personally. :)


"Hear me, hounds of Sauron, Gandalf is here! Fly if you value your foul skins, I will shrivel you from tail to snout if you step within this circle!"

"Do not be to eager to deal out death in judgement. Even the very wise cannot see all ends."

 
 

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