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The One Ring Forums: Tolkien Topics: Movie Discussion: The Hobbit:
What I fear will happen now...
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morgul lord
Rivendell


Dec 10 2012, 9:34pm

Post #26 of 71 (518 views)
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Trouble? Nah... [In reply to] Can't Post

I don't think less than $90 million means trouble. $90 million is HUGE. Even $50 million is pretty respectable. Less than that... well, maybe trouble. But I'm sure it will do just fine.


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 10 2012, 9:46pm

Post #27 of 71 (502 views)
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I don't know... [In reply to] Can't Post

90 millions the first week end means bellow 300 millions in the end.
Plus RotK did 72 millions the first week end. with lower ticket's price and no 3D push.
So as I said more than 90 millions is expected by the studios.


sauget.diblosio
Tol Eressea

Dec 10 2012, 10:09pm

Post #28 of 71 (481 views)
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Battle of Five Armies not shot yet? [In reply to] Can't Post


In Reply To
The extra time is being used to shoot the Battle of Five Armies, which hasn't been shot yet, and extra scenes to make the remaining footage work as two films. I enormously doubt the two additional films will run to 3 hours or more.

I'm sure the Battle of Five Armies definitely been shot. The next block of shooting is just for pick-ups and to cover the newly written material. The BoFA was •always• part of the plan, even when it was just two films, obviously.


Crunchable Birdses
Rohan


Dec 10 2012, 10:11pm

Post #29 of 71 (470 views)
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Nope, not shot yet. [In reply to] Can't Post

This has been confirmed in multiple cast interviews.

* crunch *


DanielLB
Immortal


Dec 10 2012, 10:11pm

Post #30 of 71 (468 views)
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Nope, even when it was still two films [In reply to] Can't Post

The BO5A was to be filmed next year. Armitage confirmed in an interview he hadn't yet filmed his death scene.

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sauget.diblosio
Tol Eressea

Dec 10 2012, 11:01pm

Post #31 of 71 (412 views)
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Hmm... did not know that! [In reply to] Can't Post

So it was •always• planned to do major filming next year? I've never heard this. That does seem strange, though. But i stand corrected-- thanks guys.


Finrod
Rohan


Dec 10 2012, 11:25pm

Post #32 of 71 (401 views)
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300 million, or a billion? [In reply to] Can't Post


In Reply To
90 millions the first week end means bellow 300 millions in the end.
Plus RotK did 72 millions the first week end. with lower ticket's price and no 3D push.

So as I said more than 90 millions is expected by the studios.


Then how do you get to a billion?

…all eyes looked upon the ring; for he held it now aloft, and the green jewels gleamed there that the Noldor had devised in Valinor. For this ring was like to twin serpents, whose eyes were emeralds, and their heads met beneath a crown of golden flowers, that the one upheld and the other devoured; that was the badge of Finarfin and his house.
The Silmarillion, pp 150-151
while Felagund laughs beneath the trees
in Valinor and comes no more
to this grey world of tears and war.
The Lays of Beleriand, p 311




Finrod
Rohan


Dec 10 2012, 11:27pm

Post #33 of 71 (397 views)
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how many total shooting days, REALLY? [In reply to] Can't Post


In Reply To
The BO5A was to be filmed next year. Armitage confirmed in an interview he hadn't yet filmed his death scene.


Curious; they often do the last scene first.

How many shooting days are we at now? Isn’t already like 11 over The Lord of the Rings? I wonder what the total will be.

…all eyes looked upon the ring; for he held it now aloft, and the green jewels gleamed there that the Noldor had devised in Valinor. For this ring was like to twin serpents, whose eyes were emeralds, and their heads met beneath a crown of golden flowers, that the one upheld and the other devoured; that was the badge of Finarfin and his house.
The Silmarillion, pp 150-151
while Felagund laughs beneath the trees
in Valinor and comes no more
to this grey world of tears and war.
The Lays of Beleriand, p 311




Lacrimae Rerum
Grey Havens

Dec 10 2012, 11:27pm

Post #34 of 71 (400 views)
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US domestic vs worldwide. [In reply to] Can't Post

 


MediaMalable
Bree


Dec 10 2012, 11:31pm

Post #35 of 71 (395 views)
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The film is going to be gigantically profitable [In reply to] Can't Post

Even a soft opening in the U.S, which I don't expect at all, wouldn't mean anything for this film. Overseas it's going to be a huge smash. This film will play, and be popular, absolutely everywhere in the world. The Tolkien brand, and the love for the Lord of the Rings films, will power it to huge box office.

So worry not.


sauget.diblosio
Tol Eressea

Dec 10 2012, 11:45pm

Post #36 of 71 (382 views)
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This [In reply to] Can't Post


In Reply To
Even a soft opening in the U.S, which I don't expect at all, wouldn't mean anything for this film. Overseas it's going to be a huge smash. This film will play, and be popular, absolutely everywhere in the world. The Tolkien brand, and the love for the Lord of the Rings films, will power it to huge box office.

So worry not.

And i think it will be huge here, easily top 5 for the year.


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 10 2012, 11:48pm

Post #37 of 71 (371 views)
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sorry if I was confused. [In reply to] Can't Post

The first trilogy grossed around 3 billions worldwide.
The hobbit should make more than 90 millions on its opening week-end in the US to reach 300 millions in the US.
Usually this kind of movie makes 70% of its business abroad, so we have 1 billion total for the first film worldwide.
So less than 90 millions on its opening week-end in the US means trouble.
But I bet it will make 100-105 millions on its opening week end in the US.


Estel78
Tol Eressea

Dec 10 2012, 11:59pm

Post #38 of 71 (370 views)
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$1 billion is not that much anymore nowadays, though. [In reply to] Can't Post

A few movies a year break that.


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 11 2012, 12:13am

Post #39 of 71 (354 views)
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Yes [In reply to] Can't Post

but no.
With the exception of 2011 when 3 movies broke the 1 billions score worldwide, there is only 13 movies in the last 15 years that earned that much.
(But I agree the trend is growing)
Seven of them were in 3D.
And only 3 were stand alone movies.
But as I said 1 billion is the minimum expected by Waner and MGM.


Estel78
Tol Eressea

Dec 11 2012, 12:22am

Post #40 of 71 (357 views)
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This year we'll also have 3, not counting Hobbit. [In reply to] Can't Post

Avengers, Dark Knight Rises and James Bond (not there yet but soon).

In 2010 we had 2 movies breaking $1 billion.

And in 2009 Avatar equals almost 3 $1 billion movies. Tongue


(This post was edited by Estel78 on Dec 11 2012, 12:25am)


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 11 2012, 12:41am

Post #41 of 71 (342 views)
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You are right. [In reply to] Can't Post


Quote
With the exception of 2011 when 3 movies broke the 1 billions score worldwide, there is only 13 movies in the last 15 years that earned that much.
(But I agree the trend is growing)
Seven of them were in 3D.
And only 3 were stand alone movies.
But as I said 1 billion is the minimum expected by Waner and MGM.




Cool

A billion is still a lot to do.
But my point was that the Hobbit is intended to reach this mark.
So less than that means trouble at the studios.
But PJ has nothing to fear.
Executives would take the hit.


JWPlatt
Grey Havens


Dec 11 2012, 2:23am

Post #42 of 71 (306 views)
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Plural [In reply to] Can't Post

FYI - There's no need to make million and billion plural in your context. The plural of "dollar" as "dollars" takes care of that.

Singular Example:
It cost five million dollars.
It cost a million dollars.

Plural Example:
It cost millions of dollars.
There are billions of stars.

If the cost is specific, use million and billion as singular. Use plural when the amount is non-specific.


(This post was edited by JWPlatt on Dec 11 2012, 2:24am)


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 11 2012, 2:33am

Post #43 of 71 (294 views)
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Thank you very much. [In reply to] Can't Post

I should know that, it is the same rule in french...Blush
I understand, the repetition of the same gramatical mistake, post after post, must be cringe worthy.
I will try to improve the standard of my english.


JWPlatt
Grey Havens


Dec 11 2012, 2:46am

Post #44 of 71 (286 views)
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My Pleasure [In reply to] Can't Post

Excellent English, in any case. Especially if you are not using Google Translate. ;)


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 11 2012, 9:04am

Post #45 of 71 (234 views)
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Oh.... [In reply to] Can't Post

Is it that bad ?

Quote
Especially if you are not using Google Translate.

Wink
I am embarassing myself by my own.
I just Google some words to check the spelling...not that much, at least not enuff. Blush


DanielLB
Immortal


Dec 11 2012, 11:40am

Post #46 of 71 (215 views)
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We've never been given a reason why [In reply to] Can't Post

Perhaps they just need more time? Of course, the additional film will require a bit more filming - they did carry on for a couple of days after "officially" finishing.

Perhaps the battle is so massive, they need an extra year to get all the props ready?

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imin
Valinor


Dec 11 2012, 12:50pm

Post #47 of 71 (202 views)
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May well shorten the film lengths [In reply to] Can't Post

But that isnt necessarily a bad thing. It could make the films, better films - get rid of some of the woffle.

Also a shorter film means potentially more screenings during the day - more money!

I cant say one way or the other but if the film is indeed too long then i would welcome a shorter better film over a overindulgent longer film - think of king kong and how that was overly long - better editing could have made that into a sharper, leaner and overall better film.


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 11 2012, 1:05pm

Post #48 of 71 (213 views)
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The movie isn't too long. [In reply to] Can't Post

Sorry but I am amazed by the number of people wishing or guessing the next to films to be shorter.

Nobody asked for a shorter TT or RotK before the release of FotR...

And after people have seen FotR and TT they were cheering over the announcement of a 3h21 RotK.

Many people have criticized RotK to be too long, after watching it..But it didn't stop the movie to be the highest grossing movie of the trilogy and to win eleven oscars.

So who cares for what people are saying about the length of AUJ before seeing it for himself ?

I saw it and I think it's not too long...


Notanelvishname
Lorien

Dec 11 2012, 1:18pm

Post #49 of 71 (188 views)
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Are you certain of that ? [In reply to] Can't Post

I was under the impression that the BotFA was planned in the principal shooting, way back in 2010...

I would guess that the main problem was in post production.
It was impossible for Weta to farm all the fx for Smaug, the siege of Dol Guldur and the BotFA for TaBA.

So they negociated with Warner for three movies.

It meant :

- More time in post production. (they got 6 more month)
- More revenues for Warner. (a third 1 billion dollars movie)

After that it was easy to rearrange some minor pick up shooting into a massive shooting in terms of schedule for the actors and technicians.

With another movie to create revenues Warner would gladly put more money on the table, so they decided to push the whole BotFA in this new shooting schedule.
So they would have more time and more money, to shoot and in post production.

That is just a guess, but it works pretty well in my mind. Tongue


DanielLB
Immortal


Dec 11 2012, 1:23pm

Post #50 of 71 (186 views)
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The additional filming was confirmed way before ComicCon [In reply to] Can't Post

And probably before they decided to add another film on - I don't think it was pushed back because of the trilogy. But who knows.

Maybe we'll get some answers in behind the scenes features on the DVDs.Smile

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