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The One Ring Forums:
Tolkien Topics: Reading Room:
"Seeing the end beyond all doubt" is also hubris (tangent, probably):
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noWizardme
Gondolin

Mon, 12:09pm
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"Seeing the end beyond all doubt" is also hubris (tangent, probably)
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It has now struck me from how 'Seeing the end beyond all doubt' is also what Tolkien's Dark Lords do too. But there it's hubris, and bad strategy. Or the worst kind of bad strategy, according to Lawrence Freedman, who is Emeritus Professor of War Studies at King's College London. This is a bad strategy based on a false theory about the world. For example, I maen that Sauron (and Saruman) cannot believe that anyone would try to destroy the Ring, rather than use it. I'm now going to give a limited quote from Freedman because select passages are so relevant to how Dark Lords behave in Tolkien. But to expand the quote or give a reference will pitch folks into a discussion of Current Affairs, out of scope on this board. ANyone wanting to find the ful article should do so easily enough, and have now been warned about its context
This is not about objectives, for someone with terrible intent can be strategically adept, but about deciding on a course of action that will not only fail to achieve its stated intent but will have negative consequences that far exceed the positive... Most of my work has been in the military sphere where bad strategy invariably involves underestimation of opponents and overestimation of one’s own capabilities. In many cases far too much emphasis is placed on catching the enemy by surprise with bold early moves and not enough on the later moves, especially if the surprise attacks fail to achieve their objectives. Not enough questions are asked about the quality of the intelligence, the sustainability of the logistics, the resilience of the forces, the attitudes of allies. And these problems are aggravated with commanders who are too self-confident and fail to listen to take advice or ask the right questions of their subordinates. ... Some bad strategies are the result of incompetence, miscalculation, and inattention. Most fail to consider how other key actors will behave. But the worst are the result of bad theories, so detached from reality that efforts are directed towards achieving goals that are unattainable, employing methods that are bound to fail. To extricate a country or an organisation from a bad strategy it is essential to acknowledge its wrongness and retreat, but with a truly bad theory that requires abandoning an embedded world view. Lawrence Freedman, Article, "The Art of Bad Strategy" on his blog, "Comment is Freed". One form of despair we might now say, is to mistake the Dark Lord's foolish assumption of omnipotence for the reality
~~~~~~ "I am not made for querulous pests." Frodo 'Spooner' Baggins.
(This post was edited by noWizardme on Mon, 12:15pm)
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Edit Log:
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Post edited by noWizardme
(Gondolin) on Mon, 12:14pm
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Post edited by noWizardme
(Gondolin) on Mon, 12:15pm
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Post edited by noWizardme
(Gondolin) on Mon, 12:15pm
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